MEF has unveiled its mobile predictions for 2013, based on the findings of the second annual MEF Global Mobile Consumer Survey, which studies mobile user behaviour and trends from 9,500 respondents in 10 countries.
Here’s what MEF thinks is going to happen in mobile this year then, in 10 bite-sized nuggets of wisdom:
Convenience becomes paramount – convenience will exceed entertainment as the primary mobile content and commerce driver globally.
Shift in payments – operator billing will be overtaken by other mobile payment systems in developed markets.
Big Data will drive mobile engagement – reflected in the widespread rollout of personalised recommendations and alerts based on context and behavioural data, enabled by mobile.
Trust as a critical asset – consumer trust around privacy and data collection will become a critical asset for apps and brands in 2013.
Usage convergence – The dividing line between consumer and enterprise-focused services will melt, transforming the way companies use mobile.
Growth in health and education services – 2013 will see a significant uptake in the use of health and education services, based on interactive mobile content and device penetration. Growth markets will drive this, but also, developed markets will complement and develop existing systems.
Crowdsourcing of mobile content – Mass curation of content, such as large-scale photo integration enabling crowd-sourcing of public events imagery, will emerge as a defining mobile apps category, but will experience scaling issues, including transparency and privacy concerns.
The march of multi-screens – In 2013, much of the mobile ecosystem’s energy will target the integration of multiple connected screens, such as TV companion services, to deliver a consistent and complimentary experience across every connected device.
Third mobile ecosystems – Windows Phone 8, Firefox OS and BlackBerry 10 will make progress globally, especially in growth markets.
China is coming – Chinese mobile content and commerce vendors will expand into global markets, but will struggle with the complexities of mobile ecosystems and Intellectual Property Rights.
“2012 saw continued expansion and diversification of the mobile content and commerce industry, particularly in growth markets such as Africa and Latin America,” said Andrew Bud, MEF global chair. “In late 2012, MEF launched the findings of our Global Consumer Survey, which highlighted that 88 per cent of the world’s mobile media users now regularly engage in mobile content and commerce. Looking ahead into 2013, all indicators point to another year of global growth across the mobile ecosystem. At the same time, disruption and market challenges, particularly around issues of consumer trust, will continue to test our industry’s resolve and agility.”