Is eCRM The Answer to Mobile Churn?
- Wednesday, August 20th, 2008
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Andy Wood, Managing Director of data marketing company GI Insight, discusses the results of research carried out by the company that found that the mobile scores poorly when it comes to using electronic marketing channels to attract new customers

The mobile phone industry has historically experienced high levels of
churn. Research from Pitney Bowes Group 1 Software found that churn was
rising. In 2007 it found that churn levels in the industry stood at
38.6% compared to 33.4% two years earlier.
Strong brands are evidently having an effect, with the issue of content
provision likely to be a key factor in churn patterns. 3G provision
initially disappointed consumers, leading to massive churn. And network
operators use attractive handset ranges and call plans to persuade
customers to switch.
Mobile penetration in Europe now exceeds 100%, with 666 million
connections. Over 50% of penetration in Europe is accounted for by
prepaid mobile phones and prepaid churn is on average three times
higher than postpaid. The sector is so volatile, however, that
this situation could easily be reversed.
With these heightened levels of competition, in part as a result of the
credit crunch and an impending recession, now is the time to for the
sector to re-examine channel strategies, whether for cross-selling or
for affinity activity, to stay ahead of the competition and retain
customers.
Our latest research assessed the marketing merits of e-CRM
(communicating via e-channels such as email). Respondents rated the
mobile sector as below average at e-CRM. It also revealed a very clear
opportunity for email marketing, while highlighting the dangers of
over-reliance on this channel.
Email marketing continues to receive mixed press. There are those who
sing its praises, highlighting the low cost, and there are those that
are wary of its true efficacy, citing huge spam levels as a reason why
many people may not be welcoming of marketing messages in their
inboxes.
Three questions
When quizzed, confusion in the marketing community over email initiatives tends to focus on three main questions:
How much effort should I put into asking customers for permission to email them?
Will my customers and prospects respond to email initiatives at all?
Does email work stand-alone, or does it need to be combined with other channels?
Answers to these questions are desperately needed by marketers.
Unhelpful debates about whether one medium is better than another have
been quickly recognised for the nonsense that they represent, and have
been superseded by cries for evidence about which media combinations
work best, and in what circumstances.
Surprising results
The results of our study were enlightening and surprising. Almost three
quarters of UK adults (74.4%) confirmed that they had given their
permission to at least one firm that they bought from regularly, to
contact them by email with latest offers and products. This statistic
provides a major validation of the efficacy of collecting permission
emails from the customer base. There is evidently a great willingness
amongst the UK population to allow firms with which they already do
business to use email as a communication channel.
Equally eye-opening was the statistic for email permission with firms
from which a consumer had not yet bought, coming in at 39.9%. These
permission-givers will mainly be people who have made an enquiry
through a companys website typically to download an e-voucher, get a
quote on a financial services product, or enquire about a holiday, and
so on. In other words, they have already indicated that they might be
in the market for the companys products or services, and so may be
justifiably labelled and qualified prospect, rather than merely a
suspect.
However, marketers should not be fooled by the hyperbolic claims
currently being made about email campaign return on investment. This
measure is often meaningless, precisely because of the low-cost nature
of email campaigns. ROI can be well in advance of that achieved by more
expensive traditional media, but achieve only a tiny fraction of the
sheer volume of business that marketing overall is tasked with
creating.
Eye off the ball
Too many marketing professionals have been seduced by very high ROI,
and have taken their eye off the ball when it comes to generating
critical business volumes. Our study confirms the potential of email marketing and consumers
willingness to embrace this channel. Those who opt in to email
communications have already moved themselves nearer to a possible
purchase than other potential customers, and have made it probably
worth the companys while to keep in touch with them. However, to
communicate with them over email, as well as by post, makes them doubly
valuable as prospects.
In fact, we can corroborate this last point from our own experience. We
conducted campaign testing over a 24-month period for some major
customers to corroborate the assertion that the combination of email
and direct mail is more effective than email alone. In each instance,
control cells, including mail only, email only and no-contact, have
been tested versus the performance of mail and email in combination.
The results have been that stand-alone email and the email/direct mail
combination produce around the same return on investment. However,
since the execution of email campaigns is so inexpensive, the sheer
volume of premium revenue generated by email stand-alone campaigns is
very small, relative to the sales volumes required to be produced by
marketing overall. The critical average statistic from these real
campaign experiences is that direct mail and email in combination
produce seven to ten times the premium revenue of email stand-alone.
So, the importance and potential return on investment from systematic
gathering of permission emails is evident, whether from existing
customers, or from enquirers who have not yet bought but who have
declared some sort of interest. At the same time, marketers must not be
seduced by the low cost of email, to place over-reliance on this medium
to meet their revenue generation targets. Indeed, real life experience
shows that it is when permission email and direct mail are used in
combination, that critical revenue targets are reached in the most
efficient and effective way possible. This report is a wake-up call for
mobile phone companies to improve their record in e-CRM as the credit
crunch, plus economic tightening, takes hold.


