Mobile To Pass Fixed Broadband by 2011, says mobileSQUARED
- Monday, November 2nd, 2009
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Mobile broadband connections will exceed fixed-line broadband connections in 2011, according to a new report Taking Internet Mobile: UK, to be released by research and analyst house mobileSQUARED on 5 November.
The company forecasts that by 2011, the number of active 3G devices in the UK will be 36.3 million, as well as 6.4 million dongles/embedded devices, taking the total number of mobile broadband connections to 42.7 million, versus an expected 42.5 million broadband Internet users.
While the analyst house predicts Internet usage over the mobile phone to remain below traditional fixed-line usage during the forecast period of 2009-2014, the companys research has revealed that between 1-10% of a companys Internet traffic is already being generated from a mobile device.
Mobile will become the primary access point for brands and businesses communicating with its consumers within two years, says Nick Lane, Chief Analyst at mobileSQUARED, and author of the report. Mobile is always-on, and the average user carries their device for an average of 16 hours a day. So if a company or brand is not already considering how to use mobile, then they need to because their customers are.
However, not all of the 3G broadband connections in 2011 will be used for surfing by UK consumers. The report forecasts the number of mobile Internet users in the UK will top 32 million by 2014 (equating to 90% of 3G broadband subscribers), but believes the 32 million figure could be reached faster with clearer data pricing from UK operators, as well as the introduction of variable data pricing.
Data pricing in the UK is still confusing, says Lane. Mobile operators and high-street retailers produce monthly magazines dedicated to handsets and tariffs; how can that not be confusing to the consumer? The number of mobile Internet users would expand even faster if mobile data pricing reflected existing models, such as variable pricing to appeal to different demographics. The cash-poor, time-rich youth democratic cannot afford the flat-rate plans, so why not offer a data pricing concession to encourage adoption?
During the forecast period 2009-2014, mobileSQUARED predicts that mobile content and services revenues (including apps) in the UK will almost treble, from revenues of 242.1 million in 2009. Similarly, the analyst house forecasts that revenue from the core Internet-based mobile advertising models of banners and links, search and tenancy, will be worth 83.7 million in 2014.
The full report will be released at the Taking Internet Mobile Roadshow, being held in London this Thursday afternoon. At the event, research firm Lightspeed Research will be unveiling its research on the UKs mobile Internet behaviour, while Trendstream will reveal how social behaviour on mobile will become one of the most powerful channels. All research is contained in the Taking Internet Mobile: UK report.
Other companies speaking at the event, which is sponsored by Airwide Solutions, Qualcomm, Bango, Smaato and Movenpick, include Microsoft, Movenpick, Pepsi, Vodafone, O2, Flirtomatic, Sponge and Sony.
Theres more information about the event here


